Gerindra Yakin Prabowo Subianto Menang Pilpres 2019

Gerindra Yakin Prabowo Subianto Menang Pilpres 2019

Gerindra Yakin Prabowo Subianto Menang Pilpres 2019

PolitikBersuara –  Andre Rosiade yang merupakan Wakil Sekretaris Jenderal dari DPP Partai Gerindra menegaskan bahwa elektabilitas dari Ketua Umum Partai Gerindra yakni Prabowo Subianto ternyata lebih tinggi bila dibandingkan dengan Presiden Joko Widodo. Bila Pemilihan Presiden (Pilpres) dilangsungkan hari ini, bahkan ia sangat yakin bahwa Prabowo Subianto yang akan menjabat sebagai Presiden.

Sebelumnya Saiful Mujani Research and Consulting ( SMRC ) telah menggelar survei pada tanggal 3-10 September 2017. Untuk populasi survei yakni WNI yang telah memiliki hak untuk memilih dalam Pilgub atau Pilkada. Dari survei pada awal bulan September lalu, elektabilitas dari Joko Widodo terlihat lebih unggul daripada Prabowo Subianto. Jokowi mendapatkan sebanyak 38,9 persen, sementara itu Prabowo Subianto hanya mendapatkan 12 persen. Sampel terhitung 1.220 orang yang dipilih secara acak (multistage random sampling).

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Sementara itu untuk margin of error survei sebesar +/- 3,1% dengan tingkat kepercayaan sebesar 95%. Quality control dipilih dengan acak sebesar 20% dari keseluruhan sampel. Andre sendiri mengatakan bahwa Partai Gerindra telah berkala dalam melakukan survei internal. Dari hasil survei, ternyata Prabowo lebih unggul dibandingkan dengan Jokowi dan untuk kecenderungannya justru suara Prabowo naik terus dan suara Jokowi terus turun.

Ia kemudian menegaskan bahwa Gerindra telah optimis bahwa Prabowo akan menang, Ia sangat optimis Prabowo yang menang pada pilpres tahun 2019 karena pihaknya memiliki survei internal yang dilakukan secara berkala. Untuk hasil survei SMRC, Andre mengatakan itu hanya sebagai pesanan. Karena bila berkaca pada Pemilihan Kepala Daerah DKI Jakarta yang lalu, SMRC juga sempat tidak obyektif dengan cara menempatkan Basuki Tjahaja Purnama ( Ahok) diatas Anies Baswedan.

Semenyata itu untuk yang disebutkan pada survei yang terakhir menjelang Pilkada DKI, SMRC hanya mencatat bahwa Anies unggul satu persen diatas Ahok sementara pada hari -H sangat besar selisihnya. Anies terlihat juga unggul jauh atas Ahok. Menurutnya SMRC merupakan pendukung Ahok dan pendukung Jokowi. Ia menegaskan bahwa Ahok hanya merepresentasikan Jokowi di DKI.

Untuk saat ini Gerindra tidak mau ambil pusing atas survei pesanan karena survei sebagai sebuah bentuk dalam menggiring opini publik. Masyarakat saat ini juga telah cerdas dan pintar karena sekarang semua juga telah serba susah, daya beli oleh masyarakat semakin lemah, dan tidak mungkin masyarakat memilih Jokowi.

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